Xie, Lunyu, Sarah L. MacDonald, Maximilian Auffhammer, Deepak Jaiswal and Peter Berck. 2019. “Environment or food: Modeling future land use patterns of miscanthus for bioenergy using fine scale data.” Ecological Economics 161: 225-236.
Download reference Doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.03.013
Using fine-scale panel data and an econometric model, we predict land use change in the Midwestern United States if a new bioenergy crop,Miscanthus × Giganteus (miscanthus), is introduced. To explain farmers' current crop choices, we use a local, limited dependent variable regression based on soil and weather characteristics. To this model, we add miscanthus as a new crop, based on its place dependent BioCromodel-predicted yield. We find that the vast majority of land used to grow miscanthus will come from land now used for non-major crops,pasture, woodland, and other uses. This implies that miscanthus can help mitigate climate change by displacing oil usage without causing food conflict.