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2019-04-09 | Peer Reviewed

Environment or food: Modeling future land use patterns of miscanthus for bioenergy using fine scale data

Xie, Lunyu, Sarah L. MacDonald, Maximilian Auffhammer, Deepak Jaiswal and Peter Berck. 2019. “Environment or food: Modeling future land use patterns of miscanthus for bioenergy using fine scale data.” Ecological Economics 161: 225-236.
Download reference Doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.03.013

Using fine-scale panel data and an econometric model, we predict land use change in the Midwestern United States if a new bioenergy crop,Miscanthus × Giganteus (miscanthus), is introduced. To explain farmers' current crop choices, we use a local, limited dependent variable regression based on soil and weather characteristics. To this model, we add miscanthus as a new crop, based on its place dependent BioCromodel-predicted yield. We find that the vast majority of land used to grow miscanthus will come from land now used for non-major crops,pasturewoodland, and other uses. This implies that miscanthus can help mitigate climate change by displacing oil usage without causing food conflict.

    Authors

  • Xie, Lunyu
  • Other authors:
    MacDonald, Sarah L.
    Auffhammer, Maximilian
    Jaiswal, Deepak
    Berck, Peter